Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 6th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada bchristie, Avalanche Canada

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Choose mellow terrain.

Avalanches on persistent weak layers are becoming less frequent, but harder to predict.

New snow and wind are maintaining dangerous avalanche conditions.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, large (up to size 2) natural and human-triggered avalanches continue to occur, although they are less frequent than earlier in the week.

Some reports are of remotely triggered avalanches, which indicate a sensitive snowpack and the need for conservative terrain choices.

Avalanches from the last few days have mostly occurred in open treeline terrain.

Click on the photos below for more details.

Snowpack Summary

Expect 10-15 of new snow by the end of the day on Thursday in sheltered areas. Moderate to strong southwest winds are expected to be forming fresh wind slabs in leeward terrain at treeline and above.

Underneath fresh snow and wind slabs you will likely find firm, wind-affected surfaces, and small surface hoar in sheltered areas.

Several persistent weak layers are buried between 50 to 120 cm deep. These weak layers include hard crusts, weak facets and surface hoar. Avalanches continue to be caused on these layers, including remote triggering and very large step-down avalanches.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy. 5 to 10 cm of snow expected. Moderate to strong southwest ridgetop wind, extreme near Kitimat. Treeline high around -8 °C.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy. 3 to 5 cm of snow expected, up to 15 cm around Kitimat. Moderate to strong southwest ridgetop wind, extreme near Kitimat. Treeline high around -4 °C.

Friday

Cloudy. 10 to 20 cm of snow expected above 500 m. As much as 30 cm around Kitimat. Moderate to strong south or southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline high around -3 °C

Saturday

Mostly cloudy. 0 to 2 cm of snow expected. Light variable ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -6 °C. Freezing level rising to 800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Caution required around non obvious avalanche terrain like road cutbanks, cutblocks and other non obvious avalanche terrain
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Persistent weak layers including crust/facet combos and buried surface hoar continue to produce less frequent, but still surprising, large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

New snow arriving with moderate to strong southwest wind is forming fresh wind slabs. There is potential for wind slab avalanches to step down to deeper layers, triggering larger avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 7th, 2024 4:00PM

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