Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Cariboos.
Confidence
Poor - Due to limited field observations for the entire period
Weather Forecast
Friday: The effects of a ridge of high pressure building over the pacific will result in generally broken skies with the chance of locally light precipitation. Winds light from the northwest. Alpine temperatures -9.Saturday: Generally sunny skies and cooler temperatures. Light northwesterly winds and temperatures near -13 in the alpine.Sunday: Increasing clouds as a warm front approaches from the northwest.
Avalanche Summary
There are limited recent observations from this Region. Recent reports indicate a few natural avalanches to size 2.5 in the past 48 hours running in the recent storm snow 60-80cm deep on a north aspect at 2200m.
Snowpack Summary
40-60 cm of storm snow has fallen over the past 5 days. Instabilities (surface hoar layer, and a thin sun crust) may exist within or down 40-60 cm. We have very limited information on the extent or sensitivity of these layers, but suspect them to be reactive under the load of the new snow. A second buried surface hoar layer, down about 115 cm, and the early November rain crust (facet-crust combo), over 140cm down in some locations, remain a concern for isolated deep slab avalanches.Average snow depths at treeline seem to be between 140cm and 180cm. Elevations below 1500m are still reported as below threshold.In general, snowpack data is sparse in this region and significant variations likely exist from one drainage to another. Digging down and making your own observations will be critical to safe slope selection. Any observations from the field are welcome at forecaster@avalanche.ca.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 5
Deep Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 6