Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 4th, 2021 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeA dusting of fresh snow may hide the solid crust which dominates the landscape. Where winds moved loose snow, thin windslabs may lurk in isolated terrain.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast
Weather Forecast
SATURDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds, clearing into the morning. Northwest wind, 25-35 km/hr. Alpine low temperature -12 C. Freezing level below 1000 m.Â
SUNDAY: Mostly clear and sunny. Northwest wind, 25-40 km/hr. Alpine high temperature -9 C. Freezing level valley bottom.Â
MONDAY: Isolated flurries overnight clearing and mostly sunny though the day. Southwest wind 10-20 km/hr. Alpine high temperature -9 C. Freezing level valley bottom.Â
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. West-northwest wind 10-20 with gusts to 40 km/hr. Alpine high temperature -10 C. Freezing level valley bottom.
Avalanche Summary
On Wednesday, Dec 1, large (size 2) natural wet avalanches failed in steep treeline features around the Highway 3 corridor near Stagleap Provincial Park. The Okanagan edge of the Kootenay-Boundary also reported evidence of a natural storm cycle up to size 2.Â
Explosive control work on Tuesday, Nov 30 produced several size 2 wind slabs on eastern aspects in alpine features, these failed on a melt freeze crust.Â
Over the previous week several size 1.5 - 2 storm slabs have been triggered near Nelson, and a natural avalanche cycle size 1-2 was observed from north facing alpine start zones.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 15 cm low density snow covers a widespread and supportive crust from last weeks deluge of rain. The snowpack is generally well consolidated, at upper elevations a few crusts may be found in the lower snowpack. At mid and lower elevations the entire snowpack was saturated and is now frozen and uniform.
Snowpack depths at treeline range from 50-110 cm, with alpine depths exceeding 120 cm in areas. Below 1800m, snowpack depths decrease rapidly with poor coverage in many below treeline areas.
This MIN from Dec 3 captures the K-B snowpack well. Note that there are very few field observations from the Kootenay Boundary Forecast Region. If you venture out in the mountains, please share your observations and photos on the Mountain Information Network
Terrain and Travel
- Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and wind exposure.
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
- When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Winds redistributing the recent dusting of fresh snow may build thin slabs in isolated features around ridges and steep alpine-like terrain. In general, any loose snow will not bond well to the crust.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 5th, 2021 4:00PM