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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 22nd, 2014–Nov 23rd, 2014
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: South Rockies.

We are operating with pretty low confidence due to the lack of data coming from the regions at this time. Send us a note with your observations to [email protected]

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations on Sunday

Weather Forecast

Expect a brief break in the wet weather to continue overnight and into Sunday. The next system should move into the Southeast regions on Sunday night or early Monday morning bringing moderate precipitation and Southwest winds. The Monday system is expected to be quickly followed by a large frontal system (warm, windy, and wet) on Tuesday.

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches have been reported. Watch for pockets of unstable storm snow at higher elevations where there is enough snow to slide.

Snowpack Summary

As we begin our forecasting season we are working with very limited field data. If you have been out in the mountains, please send us a note with your observations to [email protected].Early reports indicate there is currently not enough snow to ski or ride at treeline and below. Pockets of skiable terrain exist in the alpine, although access to these areas will likely be a challenge and many early season hazards exist. These pockets of high elevation terrain are the areas most likely to have an avalanche problem, especially as the storm slab develops with forecast snowfall. The developing storm slab may not bond well to the old surface of crusts, facets, and wind slabs.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Recent storm slabs may take a couple of days to settle and bond to the old surface of crusts, facets, and wind slabs. Expect storm slabs to develop over the next few days with forecast new snow and wind.
Early season hazards such as rocks, trees and stumps exist under the new snow.>Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.>The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3