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Avalanche Forecast

Nov 24th, 2018–Nov 25th, 2018
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Rockies.

Lingering wind slabs are scattered around the alpine while rugged early season conditions prevail at lower elevations.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Cloudy with clear periods and light to moderate west winds.Sunday: Mainly cloudy. Light to moderate west winds. Alpine high temperatures around -5.Monday: Mainly cloudy. Moderate to strong southwest winds, increasing overnight. Alpine high temperatures around 0 as freezing levels jump to a possible 2500 metres.Tuesday: Cloudy with isolated wet flurries and a trace to 5 cm of new snow at highest elevations. Light rain below about 1800 metres. Alpine high temperatures around 0 with freezing levels remaining near 2200 metres.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported in the region. A Mountain Information Network post from Monday details a large (size 2) skier-triggered wind slab in a steeper wind-loaded feature in the alpine in the Mause Creek area in the west of the region. The slab had a depth of 25-40 cm and featured a 50 m wide crown fracture line.

Snowpack Summary

Light snowfall over Thursday buried a widespread layer of weak, feathery surface hoar crystals with about 5-10 cm of new snow. Below the surface hoar, the new snow has also buried pockets of recently reactive wind slab in wind-exposed terrain at treeline and above. This wind-affected layer sits above a mixed layer of late-October and early-November melt-freeze crusts and facets found at the base of the snowpack at treeline and above. Snowpack depths taper quickly as elevation decreases and snow depths below treeline generally remain below threshold depth for avalanching. Travel conditions in many areas at treeline and below continue to be rugged.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent snowfall likely formed thin new wind slabs in the lee of exposed features at high elevations. The new snow may also be obscuring older, more stubborn wind slab.
Examine slopes for patterns of wind transport and avoid steep patches of stiff, slabby snow.Increase your caution as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5