This bulletin is based on limited data. Local variations in conditions are likely to exist. Check out the
Forecasters Blog for further details on interpreting early season bulletins.
Summary
Confidence
Fair - Due to limited field observations for the entire period
Weather Forecast
Monday-Tuesday will see patchy valley cloud in the mornings with clear, sunny skies in the afternoon. No precipitation is expected, ridgetop winds will be light from the NW. Alpine temperatures will remain near -4 with freezing levels generally sitting near 800-1100 m. Wednesday should start to see a change as the next system sets up. Timing and intensity of Wednesdays system is uncertain. Freezing levels may climb to 1900 m, and winds will switch out of the South.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches were reported. If you and your friends have been out exploring and riding in the backcountry, and have some observations to share please send an email to forecaster@avalanche.ca.
Snowpack Summary
The previous storm has formed new storm slabs which may have buried existing wind slabs. Storm slabs may be touchy and easy to trigger and may take a couple days before they settle out. An early November crust is located near the bottom of the snowpack under the past weeks snow accumulations. This crust has been seen from 1700 m to ridgetop on all aspects. Recent tests done have resulted in CTM-H ranges with SP characteristics. I have also received reports of a
SH layer buried 100 cm down. The SH sits about 10 cm above the November crust and is 3-4 mm in size. Tests on this layer are in the mod-hard range with a SP characteristic. At this time the SH may just be localized and not widespread, not sure? Dig down, do some detective work, and see how the snowpack is looks, feels and reacts in your neck of the woods.
swerner,
Avalanche Canada
