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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 8th, 2013–Jan 9th, 2013
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be high
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Kootenay Boundary.

A cautious approach and conservative decision making is essential for the forecast period. Be aware of the terrain you are riding in AND how it connects with the rest of the mountain.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Cloudy with lingering snowfall. Expect up to 40cm of total accumulations. Winds should be strong southwesterlies with freezing levels climbing to 1100m.Thursday & Friday: Cloudy skies with temperatures to between -10 and -13 with light northwest winds. 

Avalanche Summary

Isolated slabs up to 1.5 Continued sluffing in steep terrain to size 1.5.

Snowpack Summary

30-40cm of new snow has fallen recently. Moderate south/southwest winds have recently increased to strong values, magnifying the windslab development. Windslabs now extend lower into the terrain as opposed to being limited to the immediate lee of ridgelines. These windslabs are becoming reeactive to rider triggering.The January 4th interface consists predominantly of loose facets. In isolated locations (sheltered treeline and below treeline) surface hoar up to 12mm is present. There is a 1-3cm sun crust on steep south and west facing terrain. Above this interface is another surface hoar layer, creating a reactive sandwich of weak crystals. The storm snow is bonding poorly to this interface.The midpack is well bonded and strong. The November 28 surface hoar is still being found in isolated, sheltered below treeline locations buried 95-120cm. The deep crust/facet combo from early November still exists and concern remains (although unlikely) for triggering from a shallow spot.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow is consolidating into reactive storm slabs.
The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Wind Slabs

New windslabs have formed in immediate lee and cross loaded locations. The winds are strong, meaning more intense slab development and slabbing extending lower on the slopes than normal.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 6