Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 27th, 2017 4:28PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mgrist, Avalanche Canada

New snow and southerly winds will be driving the avalanche danger on Tuesday. Due to limited data it is CRITICAL to supplement this information with your own observations. Please post your observations to the MIN.

Summary

Confidence

Low - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

The next system arrives on Tuesday with modest amounts of snow and more seasonal freezing levels. TUESDAY: Snow (10-15 cm) during the day with another 5-10 cm possible overnight. Moderate southerly ridgetop winds. Freezing level around 1000 m.WEDNESDAY: Clearing throughout the day. Moderate westerly ridgetop winds. Freezing level around 1200 m. THURSDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries. Light to moderate southwesterly ridgetop winds. Freezing level around 1000 m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported; however, we currently have very limited observations in this region. Please submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

Anywhere from 2-10 cm of snow fell Sunday overnight into Monday, as temperatures dropped by 5-10 degrees (and back to more seasonal values). Ridge top winds were moderate from the west and likely formed wind slabs on lee (easterly) slopes.This new snow fell on a 2 cm thick melt-feeze crust, which could become a good sliding layer when more snow falls on Tuesday. The depth of the snowpack varies greatly with elevation. Recent reports suggest the average depth is 100-170cm in the alpine, 50-100cm at treeline, and decreasing rapidly below treeline where the primary hazards are rocks, stumps, and open creeks. Last week's heavy rain to the mountaintops really shrunk the snowpack and has transitioned much of the snowpack from dry to moist snow. A major feature in the snowpack is a crust which formed at the end of October and may exist approximately 30cm above the ground in some locations. That said, the latest crust (November 27th) will temporarily reduce the likelihood of triggering on this layer. We currently have very limited snowpack observations within this region and it is critical to supplement this information with your own observations.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
New snow on Tuesday will sit on a 2 cm thick melt-freeze crust, which will likely act as a good sliding layer.
Minimize overhead exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Recent rain to mountaintops combined with overnight cooling has reduced the likelihood of triggering this layer. Areas in which the snowpack above this layer remained dry should be treated with increased caution.
Use increased caution in areas which did not form a surface crust.Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Nov 28th, 2017 2:00PM