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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 11th, 2023–Jan 12th, 2023
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Wind slabs are the main concern. Recent observations have highlighted slab formation in mid-slope features too, not just at ridgecrests.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

A recent (12-24hr) natural wind slab release was observed to the northwest of Rosswood on Monday. This occurred on a steep, unsupported alpine feature at 1600 m and triggered a secondary, larger slide on the slope below it.

Snowpack Summary

Recent strong southerly wind formed wind slabs in lee terrain features near ridges while settled storm snow exists in sheltered terrain, and moist snow or a hard crust is found below around 800 m and on solar aspects.

Weak layers that were reactive over the Christmas and New Year's period have shown signs of bonding and gaining strength. These include a surface hoar layer buried on Dec 28 found 40 to 60 cm deep and a facet layer buried on Dec 23 found 60 to 100 cm deep.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy. Moderate south winds. Treeline high temperatures around -6 °C.

Thursday

Flurries through the day, accumulation up to 5cm. Moderate to strong southeast winds. Treeline high temperatures around -4.

Friday

Mainly cloudy with flurries, accumulation 3-5cm. Moderate southerly winds. Treeline high temperatures around -4.

Saturday

Mainly cloudy with flurries, accumulation 5-10cm. Moderate to strong south winds. Treeline high temperatures around -2.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Exercise caution on steep, unsupported slopes.
  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.
  • Use ridges or ribs to avoid areas of wind loaded snow.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent strong southerly wind formed wind slabs on north-facing terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2