Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 28th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is low, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada wlewis, Avalanche Canada

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Greatest hazard exists at treeline elevations, with wind loading lower on slopes than you might expect. Wind slabs may not bond well with the hard surfaces below. Expect reactivity and give them a wide berth.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Over the last 3 days natural wind slabs have been reported to size 2.5, out of north facing alpine features. Reports suggest winds have mostly stripped the alpine, with isolated features holding wind loading now.

On Saturday, wind slab avalanches were reported to size 1.5, triggered by sleds.

Please post your field observations and photos on the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Around 15 cm of new snow has fallen in the last 3 days. At higher elevations this sits over extremely wind affected surfaces including large sastrugi. Many alpine areas may not hold new snow and instead be stripped back to hard surfaces.

A melt-freeze crust with facets above, sits 50 to 100 cm deep. This crust could be a good sliding surface for avalanche activity but has shown limited reactivity so far. We are monitoring this layer going forward as it may become a persistent problem.

The mid to lower snowpack is considered well bonded at this point. Currently we are not seeing the same basal weak layers and reactivity that many of the neighboring regions are experiencing this season.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Mainly cloudy with flurries. Light to moderate southwest winds. Freezing levels at valley bottom.

Wednesday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Moderate westerly winds. Alpine high of -6 °C. Freezing levels 500 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with light snowfall 5-10 cm. Strong southwest winds. Alpine highs of -7 °C, freezing levels around 1000 m.

Friday

Mix of sun and cloud with moderate westerly winds. Freezing level around 1000 m. Flurries deliver light snowfall.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Although their spatial distribution is isolated, wind slabs are reactive.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Southwesterly winds have formed wind slabs on north and east facing slopes. Alpine slopes are mostly stripped back to hard surfaces, but isolated pockets of wind loading may remain triggerable to humans. Greatest likelihood of wind slabs is at treeline elevations.

Pay particular attention to wind loading mid to low on slopes at treeline elevations, and be wary of cross-loaded features.

A melt freeze crust from mid-January has shown some reactivity, small wind slabs may step down to this layer resulting in a bigger avalanche.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 1st, 2023 4:00PM

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