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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 2nd, 2013–Mar 3rd, 2013
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

Highway 93 from Jasper to Saskatchewan river crossing is presently closed. Results from avalanche control will determine if the closure goes later than Sunday. Check the Alberta road report for updates Sunday afternoon.

Weather Forecast

Up to an additional 20cm of snow will arrive overnight with only light to moderate winds. Snowfall will gradually taper off on Sunday as the system moves towards the Southeast. Colder temperatures and clearing skies should begin late Sunday afternoon and continue into Monday.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50cm of storm snow has fallen in the last 36 hours with more to come overnight. Yesterday, strong Southwest winds redistributed this snow onto lee aspects making another slab over the previous snow surface. These heavier slabs may provide sufficient load for a slide to step down into deeper weak layers.

Avalanche Summary

Visibility is presently obscured along Highway 93, so no avalanche observations were possible between Jasper and Saskatchewan river crossing.

Confidence

Timing of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Monday

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

The heavy snow combined with strong Southwest winds will build slabs on lee aspects.  More snow overnight will make these easy to trigger with  enough load to perhaps step down into deeper weak layers in the snowpack.
Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3