Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 3rd, 2013 9:28AM

The alpine rating is low, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada slemieux, Avalanche Canada

Avoid thin snowpack areas where a deep persistent layer has been more reactive. See the snowpack discussion for more information.

Summary

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Thursday night and Friday:  The ridge of high pressure that has been blocking the weather patterns is beginning to weaken and an upper trough will move in. Cloudy skies and light flurries are expected for the day with moderate winds from the Northwest and cooler more seasonal temperatures in the alpine (-5 C).Saturday: A surface ridge centered over the region will bring a bit of a clearing with few to scattered skies and valley clouds, no precipitation forecasted and moderate Southwesterly winds. Temperatures stay similar.Sunday: A front should move across the region bringing moderate precipitation with light Southwesterly winds and cooler temperatures.

Avalanche Summary

Small loose dry avalanches have been reported in steep terrain and also loose moist avalanches on steep solar aspects.

Snowpack Summary

A variety of surfaces exist on the snowpack including windslabs that were formed by recent NW winds below ridgetops on lee aspects, 15-20 cm of facets due to overnight cooling, surface hoar in shaded aspects at treeline and below treeline and a sun crust on solar aspects. Although size should remain small, I suspect it is possible to trigger windslabs under the weight of a skier below ridgetops and also loose dry snow in steep sheltered terrain. A generally settled upper snowpack overlies the late November surface hoar, buried down 115-130 cm. This layer seems particularly reactive in the Rossland Range and in the central part of the region. A deeply buried crust/facet layer near the base of the snowpack is considered dormant. Although unlikely, there is a lingering possibility of triggering a persistent slab in isolated areas.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Watch for newly formed windslabs by the forecasted moderate NW and buried windslabs in the lee of terrain features and on cross-loaded features.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Keep avoiding exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Jan 4th, 2013 2:00PM