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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 22nd, 2014–Jan 23rd, 2014
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. Freezing levels nearing 2000m with moderate westerly winds. Friday and Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with light winds and freezing levels over 3000 m. Temperature at 2000m could reach as high as +10 C, but valley bottoms could be slightly cooler.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

Unseasonably warm daytime temperatures and sun-exposure have subjected the snow surface to melt-freeze cycles on all but high elevation shady aspects for several days. Cornices have also been weakening. Previous winds have scoured windward slopes and sculpted sastrugi in exposed areas. Average treeline snowpack depths are around 170 cm with a well settled and strong upper and mid-pack; however, facets and depth hoar with an associated crust still lurk near the base. Recent snowpack tests on a SSW facing treeline slope gave hard but sudden results on a crust laminated with facets down 118cm. Below that, facets and depth hoar were found down to the ground.

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Particularly a concern on shallow rocky southern aspects with heavy triggers. Warm temperatures and sun-exposure is expected to increase the likelihood of triggering these facets deep in the snowpack. Cornice falls could also act as natural triggers.
Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.>Use caution on rocky or sparsely-treed slopes.>Use caution around convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.>Avoid exposure to sun exposed slopes.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 4 - 7