Avalanche Forecast
Regions: East Island, North Island, South Island, Vancouver Island, West Island.
***Updated 6:45***!
Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
On Monday, a large slab avalanche (size 2.5)was triggered by a giant cornice fall on a north alpine slope on Mount Cain. It was triggered by a person stepping very close to the cornice.
Avalanche activity will increase during this stormy period and a natural cycle is expected.
Thanks for sharing your observations via the MIN if you are going out into the backcountry.
Snowpack Summary
40 to 60 cm of new snow is expected by Thursday afternoon, forming touchy storm slabs. This overlies firm wind-transported snow in lee terrain at upper elevations and moist, heavy snow or a melt-freeze crust on southerly slopes, especially at lower elevations.
A robust crust, formed in early March, can be found down 90 to 130 cm. The snow above is well bonded to this crust.
Below this, the snowpack is well consolidated and strong.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Cloudy with 10 to 20 cm of new snow. 60 to 80 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 800 m.
Thursday
Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of new snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.
Friday
Cloudy with 30 to 45 cm of new snow. 40 to 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.
Saturday
Partly cloudy with isolated flurries. 20 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avoid areas with overhead hazard.
- Use increased caution at all elevations. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.
- Cornice failures could trigger large and destructive avalanches.
- Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Significant amount of new snow will create fresh and reactive slabs, especially on lee terrain features. Slab size and sensitivity to triggering will increase as new snow accumulates.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2