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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 8th, 2020–Mar 9th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Great skiing conditions with the recent snow! Watch for storm slab development in steep terrain as the new snow settles, especially in areas with a buried sun crust. Minimize exposure to cornices where possible and avoid steep thin areas.

Weather Forecast

A high pressure system will dominate the landscape on Monday with mainly sunny skies for all areas. Alpine winds will be out of the the west at 40-60 km/h. Alpine temperatures stay in the -12 to -15'C range while valley bottoms will warm to near freezing during the afternoon. Winds and temperatures will increase on Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

5-20 cm of snow Saturday night with light winds. Buried wind slabs are present in alpine lee areas. New sun crusts exist on steep solar aspects. 40-50 cm of recent snow sits over the Feb 29 crust interface on steep solar aspects. In thin snow pack areas a dense mid-pack sits over a weak, faceted base, while thick areas have a stronger base.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control on Sunday produced limited results with a few avalanches up to size 2.5 and several areas with no results. Cornice control resulted in small storm slabs on the slopes below. Several small natural storm slabs observed in steep terrain. Two skiers triggered a reloaded deep persistent size 1.5 in Lippalian 3 at Lake Louise.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Tuesday

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Use caution when entering steep terrain. Soft new storm slabs are forming, and buried wind slabs are present in lee areas. In steep solar terrain these are sitting on buried sun crusts. Cornice exposure should also be minimized due to recent growth.

  • Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline. Recent storm snow has formed wind slabs.
  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

Recent snow has increased the load on the basal facets and we continue to see occasional results on this layer. Avalanches are most likely in areas with a thin snowpack (<130cm) where the basal facets and depth hoar are the weakest.

  • Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.
  • Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could trigger the deep persistent slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5