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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 10th, 2015–Apr 11th, 2015
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Rockies.

Storm amounts for this region are anticipated to be light on Saturday. However, convective storm cells sometimes bring more snow than expected. Watch for thin wind slabs.

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

Saturday: Light snow above 1500 m, amounts in the 1-4 cm range, with rain/drizzle below. Ridgetop winds up to 60 km/h from the southwest. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. Freezing level around 1500 m. Ridgetop winds around 40 km/h from the west. Monday: Cloud increasing during the day, with flurries possible in the afternoon. Freezing level around 2000 m. Ridgetop winds around 50 km/h from the southwest.

Avalanche Summary

Loose wet avalanches to size 1.5 were reported from neighboring forecast regions (Lizard-Flathead and Waterton National Park) during warm periods through this week. This kind of activity is likely to be seen in this region when the sun comes out and/or temperatures become warm. Observations are becoming more limited as we enter into spring. If you're out in the mountains, please consider posting your observations to our webpage using the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

10-20cm of recent snow overlies a widespread and supportive melt-freeze crust. In some areas, winds may have redistributed the surface snow resulting in wind slab formation in the alpine and exposed areas at treeline. Large cornices exist in the alpine and may become weak with daytime warming. The mid-March rain crust is down 35 to 70cm and has shown a good bond with snow above. Old persistent weak layers are still intact in the mid and lower snowpack and there may be potential for these layers to wake up with a big cornice fall, sustained warming and/or a significant rain event.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New snow may get blown into fresh wind slabs on the immediate lee of ridge lines and other terrain breaks.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Large cornices at ridgetop may fail under the weight of a person. Cornices may grow further with anticipated new snow and wind, and will remain unstable, particularly during periods of warming.
Give cornices a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges. Remember that cornices become weak with daytime heating.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4