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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 15th, 2016–Nov 16th, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
~20cm of new snow and cooler temps have helped the early season ski conditions. Watch for the lurking early season hazards in thin areas. See forecast details re: recent incident involving ice climbers.

Weather Forecast

Flurries are forecast for Wednesday with total accumulations of 5-10cm. Cooler temperatures and light to moderate SW to West winds with a slight clearing trend near the end of the week.

Snowpack Summary

20-30cm of new snow at treeline in most of the forecast area. Winds have tapered off as of today. This new snow sits on the Nov 12 crust which is present on all but high elevation N aspects. Below this is a well settled snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Yesterday, a group of ice climbers triggered a size 2 slab below the route "Gimme Shelter" near Consolation Lakes. One of the climbers took a 300m ride and was partially buried. No injuries were sustained and a small amount of gear was lost. A very close call.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations on Tuesday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New wind slabs have formed with the new snow. So far things seem to be bonding reasonably well to the buried Nov 12 crust however some skier triggering has been reported on this layer. Climbers should expect sluffing in steep gullies.
Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2