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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 10th, 2018–Dec 11th, 2018
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Significant snowfall accumulation will drive up avalanche hazard.

Confidence

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

MONDAY NIGHT: Flurries, accumulating up to 20 cm overnight, moderate gusting strong south wind, freezing level below 1000m. TUESDAY: Snow, accumulation 15-30 cm, moderate southwest wind with strong gusts, freezing level rising to 1400m. WEDNESDAY: Continued snow, accumulating 20-35 cm, moderate southwest wind with strong to extreme gusts, freezing level below 1000m. THURSDAY: Snow, accumulating up to 30cm, moderate southwest wind with extreme gusts, freezing level 1200m.

Avalanche Summary

The new storm snow is bonding poorly to the old surface, small (size 1) storm slabs are reacting to skier traffic around Whistler and larger avalanches (up to size 2) have been triggered by explosives. Expect avalanche activity to increase with more snow on the way along with wind.

Snowpack Summary

Snowfall beginning Sunday has added up to 30cm around the region. The weather forecast is calling for significant snowfall amounts through the week. Buried under the new snow is a weak surface layer sitting over 20-30 cm of low density faceted snow. The new snow is initially not bonding well with this old surface layer.Prior to this storm, alpine snowpack depths varied around 150-200 cm, with an early November crust at bottom of the snowpack (down 100-120cm). This crust appears to be breaking down at higher elevations and has been unreactive to snowpack tests. Snowpack depths disappear quickly with decreasing elevations (starting around 1800m).

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

The new snow is not bonding well with the old snow surface layer. More snow is on the way accompanied with strong winds. Slabs will be more prominent in wind-loaded areas, and under cornices and ridge-lines.
Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.Avoid freshly wind loaded features.Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5