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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 22nd, 2019–Jan 23rd, 2019
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: South Coast Inland.

Recent snowfall means that storm slabs are likely widespread and may be susceptible to human triggering, especially at upper elevations.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT - Snow, 10-20 cm / southwest winds, 20-30 km/h / alpine low temperature near -3 / freezing level 800 mWEDNESDAY - Mainly cloudy / northwest winds, 10-20 km/h / alpine high temperature near -2 / Freezing level 1200 mTHURSDAY - Cloudy with sunny periods / west winds, 15-30 km/h / alpine high temperature near -1 / freezing level 1500 m / possible alpine temperature inversionFRIDAY - Cloudy with sunny periods / light west winds / alpine high temperature near 0 / freezing level 1000 m / possible alpine temperature inversion

Avalanche Summary

A few size 1 human triggered avalanches were reported in the region on Tuesday.No new avalanches were reported in the region on Monday.A few small (size 1) wind slab avalanches were triggered naturally in the region on Sunday.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20 cm of new snow on Tuesday night brings recent snowfall amounts to approximately 30 to 60 cm. The highest snowfall amounts have been around the Coquihalla area. Moderate to strong southwest winds have redistributed the snow, forming storm slabs. The recent snow fell onto a sun crust on southerly aspects, a melt-freeze crust below approximately 1700 m on all aspects, and surface hoar (feathery crystals) in areas sheltered from the wind at all elevations. The recent snow may not bond well to these layers.Below this, the snowpack is generally well settled. In certain parts of the region, you may still find a weak layer of surface hoar buried about 60 to 100 cm in sheltered areas around treeline. This layer was recently triggered by a skier in the north of the region (see here). In the south of the region, snowpack tests suggest that avalanches could still be triggered within the layer (see here).

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

The recent snow may not bond well to underlying layers. The touchiest snow may be in exposed terrain, as the snow fell with strong winds. There is potential for storm slab avalanches to step-down to deeper weak layers and produce larger avalanches.
Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.Watch for signs of instability such as whumpfing, cracking, or recent avalanches.Observe for the bond of the new snow to underlying surfaces.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2