Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Badshot-Battle, Blue River, Central Selkirk, Clemina, Esplanade, Goat, Gold, Jordan, Kokanee, North Columbia, North Monashee, North Selkirk, Premier, Retallack, South Columbia, Valhalla, Whatshan.
Keep monitoring storm snow for slab formation and stick to mellow terrain if you encounter signs of instability like shooting cracks. Soft, sheltered powder offers the best, safest riding.
Confidence
High
Avalanche Summary
On Saturday and more sporadically through the week, there have been numerous accidentally triggered wind slab avalanches, mostly small, but occasionally up to size 2.5. One of these larger releases was triggered by skiers entering a couloir on the north side of Mt English on Wednesday. The early January surface hoar (occasionally sitting on a thin crust) has frequently been noted as the failure plane in these avalanches.
Snowpack Summary
Wind-affected surfaces predominate in open areas at all elevations. Where protected, up to 10 cm of new snow now covers a mid-January layer of crusts below treeline and on solar aspects and surface hoar in the shade.
30 to 50 cm of snow since early January has been settling on a layer of weak surface hoar crystals that exists into the alpine. The presence of slab properties over these grains has been the main factor determining whether it is a problem. Wind slabs formed over it have been reactive.
A crust/facet/surface hoar layer from early December may be found 90 to 160 cm deep. Activity on this layer has tapered, but it is still factoring into professional assessments in the Selkirks north of Kaslo.
Weather Summary
Friday Night
Mainly cloudy with easing isolated flurries. 15 to 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind, easing. Treeline overnight low around -14 °C.
Saturday
Mainly sunny with cloud increasing. 10 to 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline high temperature around -12 °C.
Sunday
Sunny. 20 to 30 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline high temperature -12 °C.
Monday
Mainly sunny. 10 to 15 km/h west or northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline high temperature around -12 °C with a possible temperature inversion.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been affected by wind.
- Avoid areas where the snow feels stiff and/or slabby.
- Be aware of the potential for remote triggering and large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Human-triggerable wind slabs exist below ridges and in cross-loaded terrain on a variety of aspects. A layer of surface hoar buried in early January has kept slabs surprisingly reactive, sometimes propagating well above the trigger.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2