Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 11th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Cornices, Wind Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada TRettie, Avalanche Canada

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use extra caution around cornices and sun effected slopes.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Friday night: no new snow expected. Low of -8 at 1900m and moderate northwest winds.

Saturday: sunny with light to moderate northwest winds. Freezing level rising to 2200m.

Sunday: sunny with light west winds. Freezing level rising to 2000m.

Monday: Light precipitation bringing trace amounts of snow at higher elevation. Light southwest winds and freezing levels rising to 1600m.

Avalanche Summary

A few wet loose avalanches up to size two were observed on south facing terrain in the region as well as the neighboring Waterton National Park.

Snowpack Summary

A new melt-freeze crust is expected on solar aspects into the alpine and all aspects at lower elevations. This crust will likely break down and become moist as the sun comes out and freezing levels rise. Ongoing periods of strong westerly winds have formed wind slabs and large cornices in exposed terrain at higher elevations. 

The January 30 interface is now typically down around 20cm and consists of a variety of forms including surface hoar, facets and a crust. It is generally only concerning in the north part of the region. The mid January crust is down 20 to 70 cm deep. In most of the region this crust may only be found on solar aspects. In heavily wind effected areas it may be found on the surface.

The early December crust/facet persistent weak layer is now 100-200 cm deep. This layer produced numerous very large avalanches in January but is now considered dormant. See this forecaster blog on how to manage this layer as it may come into play again later this season. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure.
  • Avoid steep slopes when air temperatures are warm, or solar radiation is strong.

Problems

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Large cornices are expected with ongoing strong to extreme wind over the past week. A cornice failure has the potential to trigger a slab avalanche on the slope below. 

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Recent strong westerly winds have formed wind slabs in exposed terrain at higher elevations. 

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Solar input and rising freezing levels could trigger loose wet and wet slab avalanches.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Feb 12th, 2022 4:00PM

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