Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 7th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Parks Canada Jasper Snow Safety, Parks Canada

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Be cautious and assess each slope. The Icefields zone received 60cm of snow in a very short period on Jan 31. 

All signs are pointing toward an improving hazard but most slopes are untested.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Saturday will be a mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries, 6cm of snow, -10 °C, and North winds 10-30 km/h. Sunday will be similar to Saturday with less snowfall.

See Weather synopsis here: Avalanche Canada Mountain Weather Forecast

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50 cm of snow fell Jan 31st to Feb 1st in the forecast region. SW winds are creating windslabs with the new snow. The mid-pack bridging over deeper instabilities is supporting the new load over the basal facets and depth hoar. This new load and bridging has not been field tested thus treat the snowpack with caution.

Avalanche Summary

No field patrol on Friday and nothing new reported. Thursday's field patrol noted limited activity except for a couple of size 2.5-3 windslab avalanches on NE aspects from steep, rocky features on Mt. Athabasca and Cromwell in the Icefields zone.

Confidence

The weather pattern is stable

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

New and developing wind slabs are present in the forecast region. Their sensitivity will vary particularly  with local loading and wind patterns. 

  • If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

Shallow snowpack zones and/or large triggers such as cornice failures  could trigger this deep layer. The consequences would be severe!

  • If triggered the storm slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Feb 8th, 2020 4:00PM

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