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Avalanche Forecast

Nov 16th, 2019–Nov 17th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Jasper.

Some new snow at higher elevations. This will blanket early season hazards and riders are urged to remain cautious.

Weather Forecast

A strong front will continue tracking across the bulletin region for the next 24 hours with forecasted precip through Sunday to 18mm. Freezing levels rising to over 1800m which will mean rain in the valley bottoms like the Jasper and Maligne Valleys.  For more details: Avalanche Canada's, Mountain Weather Forecast.

Snowpack Summary

Variable surfaces including temp/rain crust, wind press and loose snow sit above the recently developing November rain crust which may go as high as 2200m. Total snow pack height in alpine is around 45-85 cm. Wind pressed/scoured features to wind slabs in lee features in the high alpine. Cross loaded gulleys may threaten ice climbs from above.

Avalanche Summary

Wind transport in the high alpine peaks and ridge tops is expected to increase hazard in isolated areas.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New wind slabs building with the exiting storm. Suspect the problem will mostly be in the alpine at ridgetops and possible in open areas at treeline

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially in steep confined alpine terrain.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2