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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 25th, 2016–Jan 26th, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Kootenay Boundary.

Wind slabs are a prime concern these days.

Confidence

Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain

Weather Forecast

The remnants of a Pacific system will move into the interior early Tuesday. bringing light snow with the possibility of freezing rain very early in the morning on Wednesday. The rain should change to snow late Wednesday morning leaving us with 5 cm of snow. The next Pacific frontal system will move into the area on Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

Reports of skier accidental, skier remote, and skier controlled avalanches, have diminished in the past 24 hrs, but operators are still reporting impressive results with explosives. With the continued moderate South West winds, recently deposited storm snow is still being redistributed on lee features around tree line and above.

Snowpack Summary

Recent snowfall combined with strong ridge top winds formed storm slabs at all elevations these past few days. A rain crust formed at the end of the last storm between 1500 and 2000 metres, and now has 10 to 20 cm of storm snow resting on it. In some area, storm snow is resting on a crust with facets around 90 cm below the surface. These facets may be the remnants of a surface hoar layer formed at the beginning of January. Recent testing has shown this facet layer to be reactive, especially in places with no previous skier or rider activity. It appears to be most prominent at treeline and below, and on all aspects. A melt freeze crust from December buried anywhere from 80 to 130cm across the region is still prominent in the snowpack, but no recent avalanche activity has been reported at this interface, however, it is worth keeping an eye on. Below this, the snowpack is generally well settled and strong.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Redistributed snow on lee features ( wind slabs ) are the prime concern right now.
Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Stay off recent wind loaded areas until the slope has had a chance to stabilize.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

A small slide might trigger this slab and produce a large and destructive avalanche
Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.>Use conservative route selection, stick to moderate angled terrain with low consequence.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4