Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 26th, 2019 4:07PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

jsmith, Avalanche Canada

Cariboos.

Fresh wind slabs are sitting on top of buried wind slabs that are sitting on facets (weak, sugary snow). The fresh wind slabs are touchy and the buried wind slabs may remain reactive to human triggers longer than is typical for this region.

Summary

Confidence

High - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear / Light to moderate, northeasterly winds / Alpine low -14.WEDNESDAY: Sunny / Light, northeasterly winds / Alpine high -10.THURSDAY: Sunny / Light, northerly winds / Alpine high -10.FRIDAY: Sunny / Light, northwesterly winds / Alpine high -20.

Avalanche Summary

On February 16th, a persistent slab avalanche was triggered by a skier on a north aspect on a 30 degree slope. Check out the MIN report here. These kinds of avalanches have become less frequent, but they are still possible to human trigger in specific locations and the consequences can be high.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate to strong northerly ridge-top winds on Monday created fresh wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above. Additionally, there are buried wind slabs on a variety of aspects that are sitting on facets (sugary snow) which may cause them to remain reactive to human triggers longer than what is typical for a wind slab problem in this region.A weak layer that was buried in mid January is down 30-60 cm. This layer consists of surface hoar (weak, feathery crystals) and facets. The layer also likely consists of a crust on south facing slopes. Avalanche activity on this layer has slowed, but test results, and recent observations of whumphing still indicate that this layer may still be possible for humans to trigger in specific locations. It has been most reactive at treeline and below treeline.The lower snowpack is generally considered to be strong, except for shallow, rocky areas where the cold temperatures continue to facet (weaken) the snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Avoid slopes that sound hollow or drum-like.Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Steep and rocky terrain are likely places to trigger buried wind slabs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Approximately 50 cm of snow sits above a persistent weak layer of surface hoar (weak, feathery crystals) that was buried in mid-January. This layer has created a low likelihood, high consequence scenario.

Avoid steep, open and/or sparsely treed slopes at and below treeline.Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled terrain with low consequence.Avoid low elevation cut-blocks where this layer is well preserved.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 27th, 2019 2:00PM