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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 18th, 2013–Feb 19th, 2013
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Good - Track of incoming weather is uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Freezing Level: 500m in the morning increasing to near 1000m in the afternoon. Wind: Light NE, No significant precip.Wednesday: Freezing Level: 250m increasing to 800 in the afternoon. Wind: Light SW.  No significant precip.Thursday: Freezing Level: 500m increasing slightly during the day.  Wind initially light SW increasing to strong SW in the afternoon.  10 - 15 cm of snow expected during the day.

Avalanche Summary

More sluffing to size 1 within the recent storm snow was reported on Sunday.  Isolated small soft slabs near ridgecrest continue to be sensitive to skier triggering.

Snowpack Summary

Relatively small pockets of wind slab which exist at higher elevations are expected to be mostly unreactive. but may be triggered by skiers in isolated pieces of terrain near ridge crest.  In shaded areas at treeline and below the new snow may overlie surface hoar which is reported to be reactive in the Meager Group (upper Lillooet). Several crusts can be found in the snowpack, especially on solar aspects; however, reports indicate these interfaces have settled out fairly rapidly in most areas. The mid and lower snowpack layers are generally strong and well settled.Total snow depths vary from around 400 cm in the south to around 180 cm in the north.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

You may find the odd small wind slab in isolated terrain in the Alpine. Watch for triggering in gullies and in the lee of ridge crests too.
Be careful with pockets of wind slab near ridgecrest.>Plan escape routes and identify safe zones before committing to your line.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2