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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 15th, 2018–Feb 16th, 2018
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Deep lingering instabilities continue in the area. Despite the strong post-storm feel to the upper snowpack, the threat of large, catastrophic avalanches limits travelers to safer, non-avalanche terrain. Please continue to play safe.

Weather Forecast

Light snow is expected Friday with more wind and cold temperatures. This is unlikely to significantly change the avalanche danger rating in the short term.

Snowpack Summary

Windslabs are common in open areas with loading on easterly aspects. Commonly, a deep slab overlies midpack weaknesses of surface hoar, crusts, and facets.  The depth of these slabs varies from 75 cm to 150 cm. These layers have been producing very large avalanches over the past week.

Avalanche Summary

Several new avalanches were noted today on the Icefields Parkway associated with recent winds.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

A 100-125cm dense slab of January storm snow overlies three weak layers in the mid snowpack: Jan 16, Jan 6, and Dec 15. All are a mix of sun crust, surface hoar and facets depending on the aspect and elevation. These layers could easily be triggered.
Be wary of slopes that did not previously avalanche.Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5

Wind Slabs

Strong winds last Tuesday night created widespread wind effect in most areas above treeline. Hard wind slabs exist in the alpine lees.
If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2