Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 28th, 2021 4:43PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Loose Dry.

Ian Jackson,

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Some great skiing to be had for those who brave the cold! If you go, remember to pack extra layers, choose short objectives close to the road, and be prepared to survive the cold if something goes wrong.

Summary

Weather Forecast

A generally stable weather pattern for the next 3 days. Daytime highs will be ~ -20 C and overnight lows ~ -30 C. A weak system moves through Wednesday afternoon/ overnight with increased alpine winds and a few centimetres of snow. Otherwise, clear skies, cold temperatures and light winds dominate.

Snowpack Summary

10-40 cm of snow last week with wind from various directions has developed small wind slabs mainly in the alpine but also in isolated treeline areas. There is 50-70 cm over the Dec 2 crust/facet combo which exists below 2200m. This has not been an active problem yet but we are monitoring it closely. Shallow areas (<100 cm) have weaker basal facets

Avalanche Summary

A couple size 1 loose dry natural avalanches were observed on Tuesday in steep alpine terrain. These were primarily from steep, rocky, thin snowpack areas and likely a result of the cold temperatures facetting the snowpack. Local ski areas were able to trigger small wind slabs in lee areas in the alpine with ski cuts and explosives.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Last weeks snow and winds from a variety of directions have created wind slabs in the alpine. These can be triggered by skiers/boarders in the right spot, so choose your lines of ascent and descent with this in mind.

  • Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow. Avoid wind loaded terrain.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

Recent cold temperatures have promoted faceting of the snowpack. This is most prevalent in thin, steep, rocky areas, and we are starting to see some natural avalanche activity in these isolated thin snowpack areas.

  • Use caution in thin snowpack areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1

Valid until: Dec 29th, 2021 4:00PM

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