Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 6th, 2014 7:50AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada Peter, Avalanche Canada

Sunday should see a brief lull in the weather before we're hit by an onslaught of strong weather systems next week.

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Sunday: Cloudy with sunny breaks and showers or snow beginning later in the day. Freezing levels should jump up to 2200 m. Winds may rise to strong from the south late in the day. Monday: Cloudy with showers or snow. The freezing level is around 1800 m and winds are moderate from the S-SW. Tuesday: Periods of rain heavy at times. The freezing level is over 2000 m and winds are strong from the south.

Avalanche Summary

There have been no recent reports of avalanches in the past several days; however, I suspect it may be possible to trigger thin new wind slabs in open leeward terrain, particularly in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 40 cm of moist new snow now covers the previous variable snow surface consisting of surface hoar or facetted snow in sheltered areas, and pockets of old wind slab or a crust (from last weeks rain) in open wind-exposed terrain. The amount of new snow depends on your location and elevation. Winds during the past week were strong variable and blew snow into dense wind slabs on a variety of aspects or cross-loaded gulley features. Fresh new wind slabs are also likely below ridges and terrain features on north and east facing terrain. A solid rain crust is buried 10-40 cm deep up to 2000 m. Another crust that was buried in mid-November is down 40-60 cm. The deeper crust may be associated with a layer of facets above or below. The snow pack depth drops significantly below treeline with essentially no snow below 1600 m.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Moist new snow will form a new storm slab above 1800 m and may not bond well to the previous snow surface. Watch for deeper and more sensitive wind slabs in exposed northwest to east-facing terrain.
Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet
Loose wet avalanches are possible in steep open terrain and gullies, especially if there has been recent snow accumulation followed by rain.
Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.>Be aware of party members below you that may be exposed to your sluffs.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 7th, 2014 2:00PM