Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Wednesday

MONDAY: Mainly cloudy / Light to moderate east wind / Alpine temperature -3 / Freezing level 1300mTUESDAY: Flurries, accumulation 5cm / Light to moderate south wind / Alpine temperature 0 / Freezing level 1700mWEDNESDAY: Flurries, accumulation 5-10cm / Light to moderate south wind / Alpine temperature 0 / Freezing level 1600m

On Saturday, explosive control and ski cutting produced numerous small storm slabs (size 1-1.5) and two size 2 storm slabs up to 50 cm deep. Most failed within the storm snow, but a few on the mid-March rain crust.On Monday, wind slabs may remain reactive in human triggers and the deeper mid-February weak layer continues to present a low likelihood of triggering yet would produce a large avalanche and thus a high consequence if triggered.

Roughly 30 cm of storm snow now sits above a widespread rain crust up to 2200 m. Thicker wind slabs and large cornices likely exist in alpine terrain. Reports suggest the storm snow is generally well bonded to the crust, and cooling temperatures should help stabilize the upper snowpack. The mid-February crust/facet layer is now 80-120 cm deep and may be up to 200 cm deep in wind loaded terrain. This layer was reactive prior to recent warming events, but now there's some uncertainty as to how long it will remain reactive.