Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 19th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada ahanna, Avalanche Canada

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A windy night has likely resulted in fresh wind slabs reverse loaded into atypical alpine features. Watch for these pockets especially at ridge crests and on steep roll-overs.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT: Flurries, trace, strong to extreme ridgetop wind easing to light northwest, freezing level valley bottom.

WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light wind, alpine high around -5.

THURSDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light wind, alpine high around -7.

FRIDAY: Sunny, light wind, alpine high -12.

Avalanche Summary

Cornice falls in the northern parts of the region have been reported over the last few days. Many of them triggered wind slab avalanches up to size 2 in the slopes below. None of these large loads triggered deep persistent layers.

Snowpack Summary

In the south of the region, fluctuating freezing levels during the last storm have resulted in a crust to ridgecrest. At upper elevations, 5-10 cm of dry snow has been blown around by the wind, exposing the crust in some areas and building wind slabs on top of it in others. The lower snowpack is well settled.

In the north, upper elevations are extensively wind affected. A widespread surface crust exists below 1600 m. Remnants of a melt-freeze crust from early December may be found around 200 cm deep in the snowpack. It has been most prevalent northwest of Pemberton where large avalanches failed on this interface earlier this month. Recent reports and snow profiles suggest that this layer is decomposing and/or bonding to surrounding snow and trending dormant... for now at least.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Strong overnight wind from the northwest has likely blown any available loose snow into small but reactive fresh wind slabs in leeward terrain features at upper elevations.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Cornices have grown large, saggy and fragile. A few recent cornice falls have triggered wind slab avalanches on the slopes below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Jan 20th, 2021 4:00PM