Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 19th, 2021 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Cornices.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeA windy night has likely resulted in fresh wind slabs reverse loaded into atypical alpine features. Watch for these pockets especially at ridge crests and on steep roll-overs.
Summary
Confidence
High -
Weather Forecast
TUESDAY NIGHT: Flurries, trace, strong to extreme ridgetop wind easing to light northwest, freezing level valley bottom.
WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light wind, alpine high around -5.
THURSDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light wind, alpine high around -7.
FRIDAY: Sunny, light wind, alpine high -12.
Avalanche Summary
Cornice falls in the northern parts of the region have been reported over the last few days. Many of them triggered wind slab avalanches up to size 2 in the slopes below. None of these large loads triggered deep persistent layers.
Snowpack Summary
In the south of the region, fluctuating freezing levels during the last storm have resulted in a crust to ridgecrest. At upper elevations, 5-10 cm of dry snow has been blown around by the wind, exposing the crust in some areas and building wind slabs on top of it in others. The lower snowpack is well settled.
In the north, upper elevations are extensively wind affected. A widespread surface crust exists below 1600 m. Remnants of a melt-freeze crust from early December may be found around 200 cm deep in the snowpack. It has been most prevalent northwest of Pemberton where large avalanches failed on this interface earlier this month. Recent reports and snow profiles suggest that this layer is decomposing and/or bonding to surrounding snow and trending dormant... for now at least.
Terrain and Travel
- Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.
- Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Strong overnight wind from the northwest has likely blown any available loose snow into small but reactive fresh wind slabs in leeward terrain features at upper elevations.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Cornices
Cornices have grown large, saggy and fragile. A few recent cornice falls have triggered wind slab avalanches on the slopes below.
Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 20th, 2021 4:00PM