Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Generally benign weather is expected for the next three days. Overnight Monday: 5-10 cm snow; Tuesday/ Wednesday: flurries; Thursday: 5-10 cm. The freezing level drops to valley floor late on Tuesday. For more details check out http://www.avalanche.ca/weather.

Initial reports from Monday suggest a very sensitive persistent slab now exists in the Valemount area. A size 2.5 avalanche failed naturally, and skiers triggered wind loaded slopes at around 2100 m, which failed on the buried surface hoar. Skiers also remotely triggered a slab from 50 m away at 1300 m.In other areas, the persistent slab is also very easy to trigger where it is sitting on a widespread layer of surface hoar. We had a recent report from the Wells Grey area of a skier remotely triggering a size 2 avalanche that was 35 cm deep from 20 m away. This avalanche was 80 m wide and released on buried surface hoar in the alpine. This group also reported numerous whumpfs during the day.

20-50 cm of recent storm snow has now formed a reactive slab over a volatile layer of buried surface hoar. The buried surface hoar may be most prevalent at and below treeline. The slab is likely to be especially reactive where it has gained cohesion through wind pressing, warming, and/or settlement. In general, the mid and lower snowpack are strong with any weak layers considered dormant for now. Snowpack depths are variable and shallow snowpack areas may have weak facetted crystals near the ground.