Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 15th, 2012–Dec 16th, 2012
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Kootenay Boundary.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Sunday: Light to moderate Southwest winds should become more westerly overnight and during the day Sunday. Very light precipitation should bring 1-3 cms during the day Sunday. Freezing level is expected to remain close to valley bottom and alpine temperatures should be -7.0.Monday: The next system is forecast to move into the region by Monday morning. Expect moderate precipitation overnight bringing 5-10 cms of snow by morning and another 10-20 cms during the day. Strong Southwest winds are forecast during the storm and the freezing level should remain close to the valley bottom.Tuesday: Cool and unsettled conditions in the wake of Mondays storm.

Avalanche Summary

There was one skier controlled release that was size 2.0 and ran on the late November surface hoar layer (Rossland Range).

Snowpack Summary

Reports from the Kootenay Pass and Whitewater areas are similar. Both areas have about 10-15 cms of loose snow that is bonding to another 20-30 cms of well settled snow below. The late November surface hoar continues to give results in snow profile stability tests. In the Rossland range, the late November surface hoar has not been buried by as much new snow, and continues to give sudden planar results in stability tests (when the bond between the layers fail, it fails suddenly and across the whole block that is being tested). The old surface hoar at the boundary between the slabs has been found to be intact and quite large in this part of the region. This well preserved layer may continue to react to increased loading from users or a new storm load.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

A soft slab on the surface is stiffening with with continued settlement and wind-exposure, and may be triggered by light additional loads like a skier or rider.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Stay off recent wind loaded areas until the slope has had a chance to stabilize.>Travel on ridgetops to avoid wind slabs on slopes below.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

Slopes that roll over such that the slab is unsupported from below. Particularly in areas with a shallower snowpack.
Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 5