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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 6th, 2017–Jan 7th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

It's a great year to be an ice climber as ice conditions are fantastic in the Jasper area.

Weather Forecast

Expect highs around -14 and cold lows with light SW winds.  No snow through the weekend but 10 cm possible on Monday.  The bitter cold returns and will continue through next week.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is shallow, faceted and weak.  The Nov. crust can still be found about 30 cm from ground but is faceting into large depth hoar.  The upper half of the snowpack has layers of wind slabs. 

Avalanche Summary

Small loose dry avalanches were reported in the Maligne Lake area on Friday out of steep rock slab alpine features.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations on Saturday

Avalanche Problems

Loose Dry

Arctic temperatures faceting the surface snow causing it to lose cohesion and release loose dry avalanches in steep alpine rocky terrain. Particularly concerning for ice-climbers in confined terrain.
Be very cautious with gully features.Use caution above cliffs where small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Wind Slabs

Cold temperatures and hard slab conditions make triggering less likely. Triggering from shallow spots remains a possibility.
Watch for areas of hard wind slab in steep alpine features.Caution in lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3