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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 11th, 2012–Mar 12th, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

Shooting cracks were observed on low angle terrain BTL to TL up to 2100m failing on FC/SH weakness. This layer will persist for sometime and its exact distribution is uncertain. "Considerable" is when most accidents happen so use extra vigilance.

Weather Forecast

Snowpack Summary

Avalanche Summary

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Sunday

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Natural avalanche activity has declined but the buried SH/FC layer anywhere from 50-80cm down remains touchy. Cracking and whumphing still occurring BTL to TL. Slopes that did not slide with last Monday's 50cm storm should be highly suspect.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Storm Slabs

Snow pulses have deposited 35cm in last 3 days. Another 10-15 cm is expected into Monday. The snow will cumulate into a storm slab adding load to the SH layer. Initiating a small slide has the potential to step down to this weakness.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3