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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 8th, 2022–Jan 9th, 2022
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Strong to extreme winds expected to build hard slabs and scour the alpine in the next few days.Jasper has not received as much precipitation as its neighbors, hence a lower hazard rating.

Weather Forecast

Sunday: Precipitation: Trace. Alpine temperature: High -9 °C. Ridge wind southwest: 20 km/h. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. Precipitation: Nil. Alpine temperature: Low -10 °C, High -9 °C. Ridge wind southwest: 20 km/h. Tuesday: Flurries. Accumulation: 9 cm. Alpine temperature: Low -10 °C, High -7 °C. Ridge wind southwest: 20-30 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

2-10cm of new snow with M-S south winds at ridge top. Cold temperatures faceting the snowpack. Supportive 4F-1F mid-pack in most areas, shallow areas becoming punchy. Dec 1st interface down close to 40cm, which has questionable reactivity below 1900m. Basal faceting continues near or on the ground.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed or reported today.

Confidence

Wind speed and direction is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Approximately 10 cm of new snow in the parkway area and steadily increasing winds shifting from SW to W will contribute to wind slab development. Due to a shift in direction of the wind, expect wind slabs in unusual spots.

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Variable winds may create pockets of wind slab in some unexpected locations.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

This layer is a rain crust up to 1950m and reactive to large loads. Typically this layer is down around 40cm.If you find this layer on your adventure, a MIN report would be helpful for us to track it.

  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2