Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 1st, 2013 10:02AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jfloyer, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Dry with sunny spells. An inversion is likely with alpine temperatures a couple of degrees above zero. Ridgetop winds gusting to 40 km/h from the SW. Thursday: Dry, with sunshine in the morning. The inversion will continue into Thursday. Ridgetop winds remaining around 40km/h. Friday: 5-10 cm snow. Freezing level lowering to around 1000m. Winds around 40km/h from the SW.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanche activity.

Snowpack Summary

Some relatively thin windslabs exist on lee side of ridge top and on cross loaded features. Even though they are continuing to bond, these windslabs have been triggered by skiers recently and could still be, especially during solar radiation and/or warming forecast for the afternoon. In sheltered areas, it is still possible to find low density snow at the surface in the alpine and below. South facing aspects are expected to become moist at the surface in the afternoon and create a crust when cooled. No significant shears were observed in the top or mid snowpack layers. Near the base of the snowpack, a crust/facet layer is now unlikely to be triggered. However, professionals are still mindful of thin snowpack trigger areas or large loads (like a large cornice) which could wake it up again, leading to a very large avalanche.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
A shift in wind direction to the SW will set up new wind slabs on northerly and easterly aspects in exposed areas.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 4

Valid until: Jan 2nd, 2013 2:00PM