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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 22nd, 2025–Jan 23rd, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Recent snow needs time to settle and stabilize; while a buried weak layer continues to produce large, destructive avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Large avalanches failing on the early December weak layers continue to be reported, although the frequency of these reports has decreased since late last week. Most recently, a natural and an explosive-triggered size 3 avalanche were observed on Tuesday, both around treeline elevations.

In addition, repeated large avalanches (size 2 and greater), including remote triggers, have been observed over the past week, underscoring the ongoing instability of this layer.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50 cm of new snow has accumulated since the weekend, with lower amounts in inland areas. Significant southwest winds have redistributed this new snow into deeper deposits in leeward terrain. A layer of weak surface hoar crystals may persist beneath the new snow, particularly on wind-sheltered slopes.

Deeper in the snowpack, approximately 100 to 200 cm below the surface, layers of crusts, faceted crystals, and/or surface hoar buried in early December remain a concern. These layers have been responsible for several large avalanches over the past week.

The lower snowpack is generally well-settled with no current concerns.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow. 50 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature - 8 °C.

Thursday

Cloudy with up to 2 cm of snow. 40 to 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Friday

Partly cloudy. 30 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Saturday

Mostly sunny. 20 to 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Remote triggering is a concern; avoid terrain where triggering overhead slopes is possible.
  • Choose low-angled, sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Avoid areas where the snow feels stiff and/or slabby.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Be on the lookout for recently formed wind and storm slabs, which may be particularly reactive where they sit atop a weak layer of surface hoar crystals.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

A thin crust along with surface hoar and/or facets buried in early December persists roughly 100 to 200 cm deep. It appears to be of greatest concern in areas with shallow snowpacks and on wind-loaded north or east-facing slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5