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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 13th, 2024–Dec 14th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Choose small, low consequence slopes.

This next pulse of precipitation may be enough to tip the scales and result in the early December surface hoar becoming easily rider triggered.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Over the past 2 days avalanche activity has been primarily explosive controlled. These avalanches have been up to size 2.5 and generally on north and east aspects.

We expect avalanche activity to increase throughout the day on Sunday with the arrival of the forecast weather.

Snowpack Summary

By the end of the day on December 14th up to 25 cm of new snow may have fallen. This will be accompanied by moderate to strong southerly wind forming larger deposits on northerly aspects. In sheltered terrain this new snow could overlie surface hoar.

Another layer of surface hoar can be found down 30 to 60 cm. At lower elevations or on steep south facing slopes a crust may be present at this interface instead of surface hoar.

The remainder of the snowpack is strong without any deeper concerns at this time.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow expected . 30 to 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Saturday

Cloudy with 15 cm of snow expected. 40 to 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 1400 m.

Sunday

Cloudy in the morning and clearing in the afternoon. Up to 5 cm of snow expected by early morning. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7°C.

Monday

Cloudy with around 5 cm of snow expected. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Don't let storm day fever lure you into consequential terrain.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to buried surface hoar.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow and wind will likely form reactive slabs throughout the day.

These new slabs may step down or initially release on the surface hoar layer from early December described in the snowpack summary.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3