Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Coast Inland.
Confidence
Moderate - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Ridge wind light to moderate, southwest. Alpine temperature near -4. Freezing level 1200 m.FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy, flurries beginning overnight. Ridge wind light to moderate, southwest. Alpine temperature near -3. Freezing level 1800 m. SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light flurries. Accumulation 5-10 cm. Ridge wind moderate to strong, southwest. Alpine temperature near -5. Freezing level 1500 m.SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Ridge wind light, north. Alpine temperature near -2. Freezing level 1800 m.
Avalanche Summary
Explosive control work in the Duffey Lake area on Wednesday produced a size 3 persistent slab avalanche that propagated over 200 m wide, failing on the late March weak layer. This result was on a west to southwest aspect between 2100-2200 m. Storm slabs up to size 2 were also reactive to explosives near ridge crests and were running far and fast in the recent storm snow.Tuesday there was a report skier's remotely (from a distance) triggering a a size 2 wind slab on a steep east aspect in the Duffey Lake area. Read more details here.On Monday, a large slab avalanche was noted in Duffey Lake Road region in alpine terrain. It was likely triggered by a cornice fall during sunny and warm conditions. The slab likely failed on the late March weak layer. Large (size 3) persistent slab avalanches were observed in the far north of the region over the weekend. They were about 60 to 80 cm deep, on northwest to east aspects, between 1800 and 2200 m, and failed naturally on the weak late March surface hoar layer. These propagated widely across the slopes. Many slides in the recent storm snow were also observed, often triggered by cornice failures.
Snowpack Summary
20 to 40 cm of recent snow (highest amounts near Coquihalla Highway) has been redistributed into lee terrain features from northeast switching to southwest winds. This overlies variable surfaces, including wind slabs at high elevations, and crusts on all aspects up to at least 2000 m, and possibly higher on south aspects.A weak layer consisting of surface hoar, facets, and/or a melt-freeze crust from late March is now buried about 50 to 100 cm. This layer is spotty in its distribution and has recently produced large and destructive avalanches. It is mostly likely to be problematic on west, north, and east aspects between 1900 m and 2250 m.The mid and lower snowpack are well-settled and strong.
Avalanche Problems
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3.5
Wind Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Loose Wet
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2