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Avalanche Forecast

Nov 28th, 2020–Nov 29th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Cariboos.

  

50-80 cm. of recent storm snow and moderate to strong southwest winds have formed widespread storm slabs ripe for human triggers. Conservative terrain choices will be the key to enjoying the beautiful weather and coming home safely on Sunday.

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Weather Forecast

 SATURDAY NIGHT: Few clouds / Light, west wind / alpine low temperature -12 / Freezing level valley bottom.

 SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Moderate, south wind / alpine high temperature -3 / Freezing level 1200 m.

 MONDAY: Snow, 5-10 cm / Strong, south wind / alpine high temperature -3 / Freezing level 1200 m.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny / Light, northwest wind / alpine high temperature -6 / Freezing level valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

Data is very sparse in this region. Please submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

50-80 cm. of recent storm snow and moderate to strong southwest winds have formed widespread storm slabs ripe for human triggers. There is a crust from early November now down approximately 75-125 cm. This crust has been observed with sugary facets above and below it. There are limited observations on this layer, but some test results indicate that it has the potential to be reactive to human triggering. Total snowpack depths are an average of 100-200 cm at upper elevations, tapering quickly at lower elevations. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, avalanches may run surprisingly far.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Avoid terrain traps where the consequence of any avalanche could be serious.
  • Avoid steep convex slopes.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

 50-80 cm. or recent storm snow and moderate to strong southwest winds have formed widespread storm slabs ripe for human triggers.  

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

A crust from early November exists down about 75-125 cm, and may have weak sugary facets above and below it. Storm slab avalanches may step down and trigger this layer, resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3