Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 16th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is low, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Cornices.

Avalanche Canada zryan, Avalanche Canada

Cornices often break further back than expected; give them a wide berth when travelling on ridge tops. Wet loose avalanches may occur on sunny slopes in the afternoon. 

Observations are limited at this time of year. Let us know what you are seeing by filling out a MIN report!

Summary

Confidence

High - We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mainly clear. Alpine temperature drops to -7 °C. 10-25 km/h wind from the northwest.

SUNDAY: Cloud cover increases in the afternoon. Alpine temperature rising to -4 °C. Mostly light northwest wind occasionally gusting to 35 km/h.

MONDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Alpine temperature rising to -3 °C. 20-50 km/h wind from the southeast.

TUESDAY: Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries, 5cm of accumulation. Alpine temperature rising to -3 °C. 10-30 km/h wind from the southeast.

Avalanche Summary

Reports over the last week documented large cornice falls in alpine terrain, some of which have triggered large wind slab avalanches (size 2-2.5) on the slopes below. We suspect the reactivity of these wind slabs is diminishing under the current weather pattern, but cornices remain a concern.

Snowpack Summary

Recent wind from the northeast has left a variety of wind-affected surfaces. In sheltered areas, 20-50 cm of snow sits on a melt-freeze crust that exists on all aspects to at least 2000 m. A sun crust likely extends to mountain tops on solar aspects. Another prominent crust layer is found 40 to 70 cm deep. 

Cornices are very large and exposure to slopes beneath them should be minimized, especially if the weather is sunny, warm, or windy.

Terrain and Travel

  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
  • As surface loses cohesion due to melting, loose wet avalanches become common in steeper terrain.

Problems

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Cornices may be weak and reactive to human triggers. Give them a wide berth when travelling on ridges. They are a significant hazard alone and may produce large slab avalanches as they fall onto the slope below. Cornice falls are more likely when the weather is sunny, warm, or windy.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Apr 17th, 2022 4:00PM