Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 22nd, 2014–Dec 23rd, 2014

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

The timing and intensity of this next system is a little uncertain. Any significant snow or wind event through the day on Tuesday could increase the hazard of slab avalanches on lee aspects at alpine and treeline elevations.

Weather Forecast

Heavy snowfall is forecast for the Columbia Icefields on Tuesday night accompanied by moderate to strong Westerly winds.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slab forming on lee alpine ridge lines. Large surface hoar crystals formed last week are being buried by new snow. This layer is more likely found on sheltered slopes at tree line reaching into the alpine. The interface between the strong mid-pack and weaker basal facets is most susceptible to human triggering from shallow rocky areas.

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches reported today.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Tuesday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind loading producing slabs on lee and cross loaded features predominately below alpine ridge lines.

Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

This weak layer exists below a strong mid-pack at treeline and sub-alpine elevations. Field teams are still experiencing the occasional whumph from these weak layers collapsing.

Carefully evaluate and use caution around thin snowpack areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2