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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 3rd, 2018–Mar 4th, 2018
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

A structurally weak snowpack making any travel, "deeply troubling" in uncompacted terrain, especially below treeline. The persistent weakness is mostly found at or near treeline.

Weather Forecast

The forecast was showing real meteorological potential for a good, late winter storm. Sadly, all the moisture has been sucked dry from the region so local snowfall amounts over the next 36 hours are expected to be light. Thankfully, it will remain cold...

Snowpack Summary

Much of the regional snowpack is losing support and, facetting after two weeks of cold, dry weather. Wind slabs and extensive wind effect is found in all open areas. The upper snowpack is a 50 to 80 cm weakening slab, over the seasonally persistent instability.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity observed or reported.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Expect hardslabs in the alpine and at treeline. The cold has reduced the tension in these but caution is still warranted.
Best conditions on sheltered northerly aspects.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5

Persistent Slabs

A cold, facetting, and structurally weak slab up to 80cm thick overlies: faceted crystals (well developed in shallow areas), surface hoar (at, and just above treeline), and sun crusts (on steep S and W aspects).
Be wary of slopes that did not previously avalanche.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3