Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Apr 3rd, 2017 3:31PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Cornices.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Moderate -
Weather Forecast
Mostly cloudy conditions are expected on Tuesday with snowfall beginning in the afternoon or evening. Alpine wind is expected to be light on Tuesday morning and progressively become strong from the southwest by Tuesday evening. Freezing levels are expected to reach around 1500 m on Tuesday afternoon. 10-20 cm of snow is forecast for Tuesday night and another 20-30 cm is forecast for Wednesday. Alpine wind is expected to be strong from the south or southwest and freezing levels are forecast to reach around 1600 m on Wednesday. The storm is forecast to taper off Wednesday night and a mix of sun and cloud is currently expected on Thursday.
Avalanche Summary
On Sunday, a natural cornice release triggered a size 3 slab avalanche which release down 60 cm and ran to valley bottom. Another natural size 2 cornice release did not trigger a slab. Skiers were triggering size 1 soft slabs in wind loaded features. On Saturday, a few natural storm slabs up to size 2 were reported. Numerous natural loose wet avalanches up to size 1.5 were observed on southeast through west aspects. On Tuesday, recently formed wind slabs are expected to remain reactive to human triggering. These slabs are expected to be particularly touchy where they overlie a melt-freeze crust.
Snowpack Summary
Widespread melt-freeze conditions are expected on all aspects and elevations except for high elevation north facing terrain. On all aspects below around 2000 m and higher on sun exposed slopes, there may be multiple crust layers in the upper snowpack including the late-March rain crust which is now typically down 60-80 cm. In high north facing terrain, 20-40 cm of storm snow accumulated over the weekend. Recent strong alpine wind from the south has redistributed this new snow and formed wind slabs in the alpine and at treeline which may overlie a crust. Large cornices exist primarily on north aspects in the alpine.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Apr 4th, 2017 2:00PM