Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 8th, 2015–Apr 9th, 2015

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low

Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kootenay Boundary.

Daytime warming will be driving the avalanche danger on Thursday. Watch for conditions that change with aspect, elevation and time of day.For details on how we issue Spring Danger Ratings, check out the latest Forecaster Blog.

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

On Thursday and Friday morning, a dry ridge will maintain sunny skies and strong diurnal temperatures swings. Increased cloud should develop throughout the day on Friday. By Friday evening, we can expect light snow (up to 10cm) and cooler temperatures which should continue into Saturday. Daytime freezing levels should hover around 2300m on Thursday, 1800m on Friday and about 1500m on Saturday. Ridgetop winds will be light on Thursday, and then become strong from the southwest with Friday and Saturday's system.

Avalanche Summary

Observations are becoming more limited as we enter into spring. If you're out in the mountains, please consider posting your observations to our webpage using the Mountain Information Network. With freezing levels rising and lots of sun expected on Thursday, lots of natural sluffing is expected from steep sun-exposed slopes. Cornices will become weaker and may fail naturally. Thin wind slabs may also be sensitive to human triggering on isolated high elevation, lee slopes.

Snowpack Summary

Melt-freeze surface conditions exist on sun-exposed slopes. On shaded slopes, 10-20cm of recent snow overlies a thick supportive melt-freeze crust. At higher elevations these accumulations may have been blown around by variable winds and thin wind slabs may exist on a variety of aspects. The mid-March crust/facet complex is buried around 50cm below the surface. This layer is generally considered dormant, although it could be reactivated in isolated terrain by warm temperatures forecast for the week. The mid and lower snowpack are strong and well settled.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Watch for pushy loose wet avalanche activity on sun exposed slopes. Loose wet avalanches can entrain mass quickly and travel long distances.

Be alert to conditions that change with aspect, elevation and time of day.>Be cautious of sluffing in steep terrain.>Minimize exposure to sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Large cornices at ridgetop may fail under the weight of a person. Remember that destructive cornice falls become more likely during periods of warming and solar radiation.

Give cornices a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges. Remember that cornices become weak with daytime heating.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4