Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Wind speed and direction is uncertain on Tuesday

Tuesday: Increasing cloud cover, light SW winds at valley bottom, strong NW winds at ridgetop. No precipitation, freezing level rising to 1500m. Wednesday: Mostly clear skies, winds decreasing to light NW throughout the day, no precipitation, freezing level rising to 1500m. Thursday: Broken skies, light variable winds at all elevations, no significant precipitation, freezing level rising to 1400m.

Isolated small wind slabs on north aspects were reported Sunday, no other significant avalanche activity to report.

Up to 5cm of snow covers a widespread layer of surface hoar above a crust that extends all the way to ridge crest. The curst is effectively "capping" the snowpack and doing a good job of protecting the buried weak layers bellow. However, I suspect that the mid-January surface hoar layer could still produce an avalanche if given a large enough trigger in the right spot. It can be found down about 1m in the alpine and 50-60cm at treeline. The mid-December crust/facet/surface hoar weakness may persist in the mid to lower snowpack at higher elevations.