Avalanche Forecast

The weekend will have flurries, clouds intermixed with sun, diurnal fluctuation of cold nights and freezing level 1000m or higher by the afternoon, and calm to light North winds. Monday and later will have sunny conditions, freezing level 1500m or higher, and trending increasingly warmer each afternoon.

The surface storm and wind slab have melded with the snowpack making a persistent slab in alpine and treeline locations on a variety of aspects. 90cm has fallen since March 13 and was moved around by variable winds since then. At treeline in south facing terrain, the snow rests on a suncrust 80 cm deep. The snowpack is generally supportive.

A size 3 triggered by cornice failure in the afternoon heat, scrubbed to ground, 2m crown, and ran full path occurred yesterday in the Shangrila area. A helicopter flight Tuesday revealed a significant avalanche cycle occurred on N to NE alpine slopes to size 3 and on terrain as low as 25 degrees triggered by wind loading and sunny skies. 

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain