Avalanche Forecast

Low - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Tuesday: Flurries, accumulation 5-10 cm. Moderate to strong southwest wind. Alpine temperature near -7. Freezing level 1100 m.Wednesday: Mix of sun and cloud. Moderate west wind. Alpine temperature near -7. Freezing level 1000 m.Thursday: Cloudy, isolated flurries. Moderate to strong west wind. Alpine temperature near -7. Freezing level 1000 m.

There have been no reports of avalanche activity in the region since last week's natural, wet cycle during the big rain event. To the north however, Kananaskis Country reports persistent slab activity to Size 2.5 initiating on layers at or near the base of the snowpack in the alpine and running to treeline. While natural avalanche activity is likely to taper off with a return to cooler temperatures and lowering freezing levels, new snow and wind are creating wind slabs in alpine lee areas. Once initiated, the possibility of a slab release stepping down to a deeper layer within the snowpack still exists.

Sunday brought more rain and light snowfall amounts to upper elevations across the region. The southern part of the region received about 5 cm overnight while northern areas saw as much as 10-15 cm at 2200 m and above. While there is little information regarding snowpack structure, snowpack depths vary from 40-60 cm at 1800 m elevation to 80-100 cm near 2300m. Several crusts are expected to exist within the snowpack including the most recent rain crust which is now buried by 10-30 cm of new snow. Below this crust lies the Halloween crust as well as the early October rain crust at the base of the snowpack.