Avalog Join
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 18th, 2020–Feb 19th, 2020
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Cariboos.

Enjoy the sunny weather, but remain cautious around sun-exposed and wind affected slopes. 

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to limitations in the field data.

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear, light northwest wind, alpine temperatures drop to -15 C.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny, light wind, alpine high temperatures around -5 C.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny, moderate south wind, alpine high temperatures around -5 C.

FRIDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with some light flurries, strong southwest wind, alpine high temperatures around -5 C.

Avalanche Summary

There has been limited avalanche activity reported over the long weekend, suggesting storm slabs are becoming less reactive. On Monday a few small (size 1) storm slab and loose dry avalanches were reported by riders on a variety of aspects. Looking forward, slab avalanches remain possible to trigger, especially on sun-exposed and wind loaded slopes.

Snowpack Summary

Last week it snowed 40-80 cm, with the greatest accumulations in the northern part of the region. This snow has shown signs of settling and gaining strength over the past few days, with the exception of some wind affected slopes. This recent snow sits above a few different interfaces (a hard rain crust below 1800 m, sun crusts on south-facing slopes, and potentially small surface hoar at treeline), but appears to be bonding well to these interfaces. Sunny weather this week could weaken cornices and surface snow on steep south-facing slopes. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and strong.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and wind exposure.
  • Avoid exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes, especially when the solar radiation is strong.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slab avalanches are possible to trigger on wind loaded or steep convex slopes, and may release naturally on sun-exposed slopes in the heat of the day.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2