Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 18th, 2020 5:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada shorton, Avalanche Canada

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Enjoy the sunny weather, but remain cautious around sun-exposed and wind affected slopes. 

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to limitations in the field data.

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear, light northwest wind, alpine temperatures drop to -15 C.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny, light wind, alpine high temperatures around -5 C.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny, moderate south wind, alpine high temperatures around -5 C.

FRIDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with some light flurries, strong southwest wind, alpine high temperatures around -5 C.

Avalanche Summary

There has been limited avalanche activity reported over the long weekend, suggesting storm slabs are becoming less reactive. On Monday a few small (size 1) storm slab and loose dry avalanches were reported by riders on a variety of aspects. Looking forward, slab avalanches remain possible to trigger, especially on sun-exposed and wind loaded slopes.

Snowpack Summary

Last week it snowed 40-80 cm, with the greatest accumulations in the northern part of the region. This snow has shown signs of settling and gaining strength over the past few days, with the exception of some wind affected slopes. This recent snow sits above a few different interfaces (a hard rain crust below 1800 m, sun crusts on south-facing slopes, and potentially small surface hoar at treeline), but appears to be bonding well to these interfaces. Sunny weather this week could weaken cornices and surface snow on steep south-facing slopes. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and strong.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and wind exposure.
  • Avoid exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes, especially when the solar radiation is strong.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Storm slab avalanches are possible to trigger on wind loaded or steep convex slopes, and may release naturally on sun-exposed slopes in the heat of the day.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 19th, 2020 5:00PM

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